Description

This analysis provides a forecast of JASMY prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2024-12-08 00:00:00+00:00 0.018176 0.023000 0.029463 0.039088 0.053697 0.076269 0.116733
2024-12-15 00:00:00+00:00 0.012626 0.017585 0.025285 0.039127 0.066204 0.125498 0.307764
2024-12-22 00:00:00+00:00 0.010145 0.015007 0.023320 0.040409 0.081343 0.206041 0.976006
2024-12-29 00:00:00+00:00 0.008501 0.013112 0.021554 0.040762 0.095201 0.324106 4.352459
2025-01-05 00:00:00+00:00 0.007126 0.011282 0.019232 0.038590 0.100493 0.440726 31.072188
2025-01-12 00:00:00+00:00 0.006215 0.010070 0.017743 0.037646 0.109366 0.644377 NaN
2025-01-19 00:00:00+00:00 0.005765 0.009615 0.017672 0.040380 0.137243 1.362972 NaN
2025-01-26 00:00:00+00:00 0.005500 0.009456 0.018192 0.045219 0.187121 4.686826 NaN
2025-02-02 00:00:00+00:00 0.005257 0.009290 0.018643 0.050292 0.257757 40.206390 NaN
2025-02-09 00:00:00+00:00 0.004852 0.008708 0.017907 0.050730 0.299249 1324.203972 NaN
2025-02-16 00:00:00+00:00 0.004512 0.008214 0.017277 0.051296 0.349820 NaN NaN
2025-02-23 00:00:00+00:00 0.004153 0.007626 0.016270 0.049772 0.374520 NaN NaN
2025-03-02 00:00:00+00:00 0.003754 0.006948 0.015016 0.047234 0.391424 NaN NaN
2025-03-09 00:00:00+00:00 0.003465 0.006492 0.014314 0.047043 0.458183 NaN NaN
2025-03-16 00:00:00+00:00 0.003261 0.006199 0.014011 0.048689 0.594266 NaN NaN
2025-03-23 00:00:00+00:00 0.003055 0.005874 0.013531 0.049145 0.731302 NaN NaN
2025-03-30 00:00:00+00:00 0.002809 0.005421 0.012569 0.046338 0.740621 NaN NaN
2025-04-06 00:00:00+00:00 0.002623 0.005093 0.011933 0.045122 0.818485 NaN NaN
2025-04-13 00:00:00+00:00 0.002539 0.005008 0.012052 0.048650 1.272503 NaN NaN
2025-04-20 00:00:00+00:00 0.002498 0.005020 0.012495 0.054956 2.606442 NaN NaN
2025-04-27 00:00:00+00:00 0.002451 0.005014 0.012882 0.061645 6.441727 NaN NaN
2025-05-04 00:00:00+00:00 0.002337 0.004815 0.012537 0.062226 10.160054 NaN NaN
2025-05-11 00:00:00+00:00 0.002235 0.004637 0.012231 0.062978 17.842151 NaN NaN